WebOct 8, 2024 · First, the observing systems have been greatly developed with a series of meteorological and oceanic satellites launched and international observing and research programs initiated such as TOGA, GOOS (Global Ocean Observation System) and Argo, etc., offering an excellent opportunity to initialize ENSO prediction using various oceanic and … http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/ENSO/Bulletins_ind.html
Figure 10. ENSO Forecasts CLIMAS
WebDec 1, 2024 · The IRI history of seasonal precipitation forecasts from 1997 to 2016 serves as an example state-of-the-art seasonal forecast. These seasonal forecasts were first issued October 1997 and were produced quarterly until August 2001, when the frequency of issuance increased to monthly. WebJul 6, 2024 · Currently, sea surface temperatures in the ENSO monitoring regions are still slightly cooler than average, but within the neutral range of +/- 0.5°C from the long-term ( 1991–2024) average. The official CPC/IRI ENSO probability forecast, based on a consensus of CPC and IRI forecasters. detroit michigan to ohio
June 2024 ENSO update: neutral noodle NOAA Climate.gov
WebModel probabilities for neutral ENSO conditions are above 70% for Feb-Apr through Apr-Jun 2014, 55% for May-Jul 2014, and between 45% and 50% for Jun-Aug through Oct-Dec … WebThe latest set of ENSO prediction models from mid-March 2024 is now available in the IRI ENSO prediction plume. These are used to assess the probabilities of the three ENSO categories by using the average value of the NINO3.4 SST anomaly predictions from all … Connect with IRI. The IRI was initially established as a cooperative agreement … The climate and society maproom is a collection of maps and other figures that … WebApr 13, 2024 · The most recent IRI plume favors ENSO-neutral to continue through the spring, with El Niño forming during summer 2024 and persisting through the fall [Fig. 6]. … church building for sale in boston ma